Conflict Projections in U.S. Central Command: Incorporating Climate Change

by Stephen Watts, Mark Toukan, Emily Allendorf

This report presents an analysis of the impact of climate change on the frequency of conflict in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility. The authors characterize the current state of scholarship on the topic before applying a machine learning framework to generate new conflict projections. They then identify reasons why existing work might underestimate the relationship between climate hazards and conflict.

• Format: Paperback
• Language: English
• ISBN: 1977412467
• ISBN13: 9781977412461
• Release Date: November 2023
• Publisher: RAND Corporation
• Length: 42 Pages