The Price of Certainty: Why Probability Feels Personal

By Adam Hart

We live surrounded by probability, yet rarely experience it as it truly is.

The Price of Certainty is a slim paperback, reflective non-fiction book about how humans relate to chance - not as a mathematical system, but as something felt, negotiated, and quietly personalised. It explores why unlikely outcomes feel alive, why near misses linger, why small wins reassure, and why persistence so often feels reasonable even when nothing has changed.

Rather than teaching statistics or offering advice, this book examines the subtle emotional mechanisms that sit between numbers and behaviour. It shows how probability speaks in scale and distribution, while we listen in stories, sequences, and personal meaning - and how easily those two perspectives drift apart.

Structured in five carefully paced parts, The Price of Certainty moves from familiar encounters with chance into deeper structural clarity, before releasing the need for resolution altogether. There are no rules to follow, no strategies to apply, and no optimism offered as consolation.

This is not a book about winning, improving your odds, or making better bets. It is a book about attention - about noticing how certainty is accumulated, what it quietly costs, and what remains when we stop asking chance to justify itself.

Written in a calm, essayistic voice, The Price of Certainty will appeal to readers interested in psychology, philosophy, decision-making, and reflective nonfiction that values clarity over instruction.

A concise exploration of probability, belief, and uncertainty - for readers who prefer understanding to answers.

• Format: Paperback
• Language: English
• ISBN: B0GKXYW7KT
• ISBN13: 9798246121627
• Release Date: February 2026
• Publisher: Independently Published
• Length: 122 Pages
• Weight: 0.38 lbs.
• Dimensions: 0.3" x 6.0" x 9.0"