The Odds of War A calculus of probabilities: Part I General introduction

By Lutz Vordermayer

The first part of the six-part study on the origins of wars presents the system and methodology of applied history.
64 parameters are discussed that either lead to wars or have a peacekeeping effect.
This is followed by a presentation of the calculation of the nominal and real expected value, which assigns a percentage probability to each war based on its specific parameters.
Past wars can be explained using the model presented, and future wars can be predicted.

• Format: Paperback
• Language: English
• ISBN: B0GL59VFMH
• ISBN13: 9798246622247
• Release Date: February 2026
• Publisher: Independently Published
• Length: 165 Pages
• Weight: 0.51 lbs.
• Dimensions: 0.3" x 6.0" x 9.0"