In a world where the sea is a cruel mistress and tradition rules the waves, Arin Hale is a clerk with a dangerous idea: the ocean follows laws, and those laws are written in numbers.
The empire of Aetria is at war, and its supply lines are being strangled. The only hope lies in "The Needle"-a treacherous, rock-filled strait that has claimed countless ships. The Admiralty relies on the instincts of the Guild of Pilots to navigate it, but their traditions are failing.
Tasked with navigating the merchant man-of-war Peregrine through the Needle, Arin must fight against skeptical captains, hostile pilots, and the terrifying unpredictability of the sea itself. To succeed, he must forge a new discipline-the Navigator's Law-using tools that will one day be known as statistics, probability, and machine learning.
From the basics of means and variances to the complexities of Bayesian inference, hypothesis testing, and survival analysis, The Navigator's Law is a unique statistical thriller. It weaves a high-stakes nautical adventure with a rigorous exploration of data science concepts. Can Arin prove that mathematics is stronger than superstition before the Peregrine is smashed against the rocks?
A groundbreaking work of educational fiction, this book explores concepts including:
Measures of central tendency and dispersion
Probability distributions and stochastic processes
Bayesian inference and decision theory
Regression analysis and machine learning principles
The ethics of risk and loss