This authoritative source for students, scholars, journalists, and interested observers sheds light on the small number of states that matter most in American presidential politics. David Schultz and Christopher Miller bring conceptual clarity to the term "swing states," which despite the media's frequent use of terms like "battlegrounds," "bellwethers," and "swing states," has remained poorly understood. Through examination of these states and the factors that make them "swing" this volume addresses a significant gap in the scholarly literature in a way that will be instructive for scholars and student of elections and state politics as well as the media and the public as they seek to understand the factors shaping the vote for president in these states, and the consequences for the conduct of presidential campaigns and ultimately for the outcome of presidential elections.
The fourth edition continues to focus on the ten states now seen as being the key battlegrounds that define presidential elections-Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Maine, Minnesota, and Nebraska, leaving out the states of New Hampshire and Ohio, which have become more reliably partisan. Each of these pivotal states also cast their electoral votes for the same candidate-Donald Trump. Wither the swing states?, some might ask. Absolutely not, this volume responds.