This book addresses an often neglected aspect of econometrics, the question of how to assess the specification, strengths, weaknesses, limits, and sensitive features of a model. The contributions are the result of a five-year inter-university research project to improve understanding of concepts of model reliability. Contents Introduction , David A. Belsley and Edwin Kuh - Wholesale and Retail Prices: Bivariate Time Series Modeling with Forecastable Error Variables , C.W.J. Granger, R.P. Robins, and Robert F. Engle - Recursive Stability Analysis: The Demand for Money during the German Hyperinflation , Jean-Marie Dufour - A Bayesian Analysis of the Determinant of Inflation , Edward E. Learner - The Use of Outside Information in Econometric Forecasting , Mark N. Greene, E. Philip Howrey, and Saul H. Hymans - Centering, the Constant, First Differencing, and Assessing Conditioning , David A. Belsley - Applications of Bounded-Influence and Diagnostic Methods in Energy Modeling , Roy Welsch and Stephen Swartz - A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results , Ray C. Fair and Lewis S. Alexander - Linear Analysis of Large Nonlinear Models and Model Simplification , Edwin Kuh, John Neese, and Peter Hollinger
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