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Future Babble: Future Babble: Why Pundits Are H...
New York Times bestselling author of Superforecasting and Future Babble "Genuinely arresting . . . required reading for journalists, politicians, academics, and anyone who listens to them."--Steven Pinker, author of How the Mind Works...
Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Are Next ...
An award-winning journalist uses landmark research to debunk the whole expert prediction industry, and explores the psychology of our obsession with future history. In 2008, experts predicted gas would hit $20 a gallon; it peaked at $4.10. In 1967, they said the USSR would be...
Future Babble
In 2008 as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1908 it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that turned out. Face it experts are about as accurate as...
Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - an...
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Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - An...
Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - An...
In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1967, they said the USSR would have one of the fastest-growing economies in the year 2000; in 2000, the USSR did not exist. In 1911, it was pronounced...
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