1. Introduction: A Culture of Insecurity and its Experts. 2. Experts, Think Tanks, and the Delicate Balance of Public Trust. 3. The Wisdom of the Group: RAND's First Experiments with Expert Prediction, 1947-1951. 4. Negotiating Rules for the Game: Political Games at RAND, 1954-1956. 5. The Oracle's Epistemology: Expert Opinions as Scientific Material. 6.The Boredom of the Crowd: The Long-Range Forecasting Delphi,...