Aviation System Risks and Safety

By Shatrakov Y G, Shapkin V S, Kuklev E a, et al.

FOREWORD

INTRODUCTION

Chapter 1. SYSTEMS' SAFETY ASSESSMENT BASED ON THEORIES OF RELIABILITY AND PROBABILITY METHODS

1.1. Formation of the methods that provide technical safety and reliability as quality characteristics

1.2. Object's main states in reliability and safety analysis

1.3. Interconnection between categories of reliability, efficiency, and safety in complex technical systems according to classical theory of reliability

1. 4. Structurally complicated diagrams of technical systems and failure throats

1.4.1. Systems' reliability rate estimation methods

1.4.2. Developing a "tree of failures"

1.5. Main principles of technical systems' safety assurance according to methods of classical theory of reliability

1.5.1. Appliance of security barriers for safety oversight at potentially dangerous objects 1.5.2. Place and role of probabilistic safety analysis (PSA) in the theory of reliability

1.5.3. Definition of risk factors

1.5.4. International standards for safety analysis and assessment (PSA) and remarks on statement discrepancies

1.5.5. Primal problems statement in probabilistic safety analysis

1.6. Analysis of emergency sequences during estimation of system safety level according to PSA method in the theory of reliability

1.6.1. Design of "event trees" in the theory of reliability

1.6.2. Risk estimation in the theory of reliability as a probability of negative event

1.6.3. Risk computation results analysis in PSA methods

1.7. Analysis for different types of failures, their consequences and criticality based on methods of failure mode effects and criticality analysis

1.7.1. General provisions for systems' failure mode effects and criticality analysis

1.7.2. Impact of failure criticality on the system's operation processes safety situation

1.7.3. Examples of reported fatal crashes

Chapter 2. NEW DOCTRINE "RELIABILITY, RISK, SAFETY" FOR SYSTEMS' SAFETY (FLIGHT SAFETY) ASSESSMENT BASED ON FUZZY SETS APPROACH

2.1. New doctrine for aviation structural-complicated engineering systems safety assessment using fuzzy sets

2.1.1. Fundamental general provisions of "Reliability, Risk, Safety" (RRS) doctrine 2.1.2. General RRS guidelines on tools development for assessment of systemic risk as a "measure of danger"

2.1.3. Possible directions for development of system safety assessment indicators based on risk methodology

2.1.4. Three fundamental postulates of theory of systemic safety (TSS) that supplement the classical theory of reliability (TR)

2.2.2. Some examples of risk levels relevancy estimation by danger factors in highly reliable systems

2.3. The generalized provisions of TR and TSS in RRS

2.3.1. Interpretation of the initial conception of risk in terms of game theory (difference between conceptions in TR and TSS)

2.3.2. Mathematical foundation of models for risk as a "measure of danger" according to RAS

2.4. Mathematical foundation for definition of risk event and integral measure of risk in probabilistic space

2.5. Models for safety ("danger") and "risks" in PSA and TSS

2.6. Comparison of quality indicators and safety in TR and TSS

2.6.1. Estimation for experimental probability valuation errors

2.6.2. 2-D estimation of risk relevancy as "quantity of danger"

2.7. Decision-making circuit with due consideration of risks and chance during monitoring and flight safety oversight in civil aviation

2.8. Foundations of transition from TR to TSS and "fuzzy sets" of TR events like functional failures

2.9. Appropriate safety indicators observation framework in terms of ICAO risk calculation methodology (Annex-19)

• Format: Paperback
• Language: English
• ISBN: 9811381240
• ISBN13: 9789811381249
• Release Date: August 2020
• Publisher: Springer
• Length: 167 Pages
• Weight: 0.61 lbs.
• Dimensions: 0.4" x 6.1" x 9.2"